WILLEMSTAD – Security experts have warned that a single serious incident involving a cruise ship during the escalating tensions between Venezuela and the United States could have major economic consequences for the Caribbean islands, particularly Curaçao, Aruba and Bonaire.
The warning was issued during a recent online panel discussion organized by Security in Open Societies, which focused on the geopolitical situation surrounding Venezuela and the potential spillover effects on the Dutch Caribbean.
Former Lieutenant Governor of Bonaire Glenn Thodé highlighted the geographical vulnerability of the ABC islands, stressing their close proximity to Venezuela. “The threat is being felt,” Thodé said. “We are dealing with a neighboring country that is under pressure from an aggressive military presence.”
According to Thodé, while the risk for the Windward Islands is less immediate, the impact on Bonaire, Curaçao and Aruba is far more acute. He emphasized that even a limited incident at sea could undermine confidence in regional safety, with direct repercussions for tourism and maritime traffic.
To illustrate the risks, Thodé shared a personal example involving his half-brother, a fisherman whose boat required repairs in Venezuela. The return voyage took place after the United States had begun military strikes in the region. “Fortunately, with assistance from the Dutch Coast Guard, he was able to return safely,” Thodé said, underscoring how quickly civilian activities can be affected by military escalation.
Panel members agreed that cruise tourism is particularly sensitive to perceptions of insecurity. A single incident involving a cruise vessel, even if unintended, could lead to route cancellations, insurance complications and long-term damage to the islands’ economies, which rely heavily on tourism.
The discussion reinforced calls for continued diplomatic engagement, clear communication with international partners, and heightened regional preparedness to mitigate potential fallout from developments beyond the islands’ control.